Former President Donald Trump, a longtime New Yorker, is seeing a potential shift in voter sentiment in New York State, according to a recent poll from the Siena College Research Institute.
The poll indicates that Trump is narrowing the gap with President Joe Biden, with Biden leading 46-37 percent, down from 52-31 percent last month.
Despite New York’s historical Democratic leanings, the poll suggests a potential change, especially with third-party candidates in the mix.
“Is New York still ‘true blue?’ True, 49% of voters are enrolled as Democrats and only 23% as Republicans. True, the last Republican presidential candidate to win here was Ronald Reagan in 1984,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg began.
“But also true is that just last year, a Republican came within seven points of being elected governor. And also true is that right now, Biden has his worst-ever New York favorability and job approval ratings.”
“The good news for Biden is the election is more than a year away. The bad news is there’s more bad news.”
“And in the general, Biden only leads Trump 46-37 percent, a far cry from the 61-38 percent margin Biden won by in 2020,” he noted.
“Biden’s lead slips to just seven points if RFK and West – who, combined, win the support of nearly one in five voters – are on the ballot.”
However, Trump still faces challenges, as a majority of New York voters hold an unfavorable opinion of him, and his legal issues in the state persist.
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